| Estimate | Std. Error | 95% CI lower | 95% CI upper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSB North Mean Recruitment | 13113.052 | 3275.934 | 8036.271 | 2.139701e+04 |
| BSB North NAA \(\sigma\) (age 1) | 0.960 | 0.133 | 0.732 | 1.260000e+00 |
| BSB North NAA \(\sigma\) (age 2) | 0.775 | 0.042 | 0.696 | 8.630000e-01 |
| REC CPA fully selected q | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000000e+00 |
| VAST Spring fully selected q | 0.009 | 0.001 | 0.007 | 1.200000e-02 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 1 | 0.015 | 0.009 | 0.004 | 4.900000e-02 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 2 | 0.309 | 0.144 | 0.106 | 6.260000e-01 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 3 | 0.734 | 0.184 | 0.302 | 9.460000e-01 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 4 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 5 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 6 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 7 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 8+ | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 1 | 0.034 | 0.031 | 0.005 | 1.860000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 2 | 0.334 | 0.210 | 0.073 | 7.620000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 3 | 0.589 | 0.232 | 0.180 | 9.030000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 4 | 0.798 | 0.157 | 0.368 | 9.640000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 5 | 0.899 | 0.092 | 0.549 | 9.850000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 6 | 0.957 | 0.045 | 0.723 | 9.950000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 7 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 8+ | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 1 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 2 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 3 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 4 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 5 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 6 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 7 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 8+ | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 1 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 2 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 3 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 4 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 5 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 6 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 7 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 8+ | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 1 | 0.185 | 0.074 | 0.080 | 3.720000e-01 |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 2 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 3 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 4 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 5 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 6 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 7 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 8+ | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 6: Mean \(a_{50}\) | 1.793 | 0.335 | 1.222 | 2.531000e+00 |
| Block 6: Mean 1/slope (increasing) | 0.434 | 0.123 | 0.247 | 7.480000e-01 |
| Block 1: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.000 | 0.021 | 0.000 | 1.401802e+78 |
| Block 1: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (age) | 1.000 | 0.000 | -1.000 | 1.000000e+00 |
| Block 1: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.515 | 0.127 | 0.379 | 9.540000e-01 |
| Block 2: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.223 | 0.031 | 0.170 | 2.930000e-01 |
| Block 2: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (age) | 0.498 | 0.066 | 0.628 | 8.960000e-01 |
| Block 2: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.735 | 0.023 | 0.878 | 9.830000e-01 |
| Block 5: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.254 | 0.064 | 0.155 | 4.160000e-01 |
| Block 5: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.659 | 0.077 | 0.549 | 9.880000e-01 |
| Block 6: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.306 | 0.095 | 0.166 | 5.640000e-01 |
| Block 6: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.461 | 0.161 | 0.245 | 9.410000e-01 |
| Commercial in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 37.353 | 2.180 | 33.316 | 4.187800e+01 |
| Recreational in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 2.946 | 0.359 | 2.320 | 3.740000e+00 |
| REC CPA in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 3.462 | 0.367 | 2.813 | 4.261000e+00 |
| VAST Spring in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 50.506 | 2.468 | 45.894 | 5.558200e+01 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 6451 | 3608 | 1757 | 809 | 372 | 170 | 78 | 66 |
| 1990 | 6998 | 2315 | 1752 | 363 | 209 | 29 | 5 | 31 |
| 1991 | 4842 | 3420 | 519 | 638 | 106 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
| 1992 | 3774 | 3800 | 232 | 78 | 256 | 42 | 13 | 93 |
| 1993 | 1685 | 1746 | 437 | 366 | 39 | 317 | 15 | 22 |
| 1994 | 15056 | 432 | 1543 | 135 | 175 | 17 | 62 | 7 |
| 1995 | 26146 | 1843 | 483 | 98 | 86 | 6 | 8 | 26 |
| 1996 | 29769 | 4205 | 608 | 158 | 37 | 69 | 7 | 11 |
| 1997 | 4207 | 11485 | 783 | 179 | 114 | 19 | 34 | 18 |
| 1998 | 1949 | 3456 | 869 | 556 | 89 | 122 | 11 | 44 |
| 1999 | 39608 | 2711 | 701 | 385 | 151 | 79 | 52 | 32 |
| 2000 | 37666 | 6363 | 874 | 759 | 160 | 187 | 16 | 33 |
| 2001 | 11338 | 4957 | 2931 | 768 | 459 | 163 | 233 | 7 |
| 2002 | 21691 | 9013 | 4145 | 1900 | 217 | 71 | 79 | 30 |
| 2003 | 7085 | 4772 | 2611 | 2077 | 978 | 85 | 34 | 21 |
| 2004 | 3352 | 3284 | 5751 | 847 | 1252 | 324 | 3 | 23 |
| 2005 | 6492 | 3498 | 1041 | 1526 | 662 | 509 | 117 | 37 |
| 2006 | 23303 | 6825 | 1760 | 1565 | 1828 | 262 | 349 | 2 |
| 2007 | 19733 | 9233 | 3809 | 972 | 629 | 661 | 288 | 42 |
| 2008 | 22858 | 10605 | 4058 | 1377 | 368 | 286 | 192 | 127 |
| 2009 | 23372 | 14064 | 6859 | 4368 | 1061 | 74 | 31 | 171 |
| 2010 | 9500 | 9666 | 9023 | 5234 | 3079 | 433 | 21 | 26 |
| 2011 | 22177 | 8095 | 5365 | 4138 | 1599 | 1010 | 132 | 21 |
| 2012 | 79211 | 20340 | 10226 | 4470 | 3401 | 1323 | 635 | 133 |
| 2013 | 31652 | 27703 | 5161 | 4354 | 2440 | 1569 | 477 | 290 |
| 2014 | 15435 | 14223 | 33670 | 5221 | 2874 | 1672 | 1034 | 548 |
| 2015 | 13723 | 12521 | 10430 | 15723 | 2884 | 1313 | 657 | 632 |
| 2016 | 54609 | 18173 | 5327 | 5047 | 14466 | 1745 | 1106 | 778 |
| 2017 | 21407 | 38981 | 8685 | 3645 | 3466 | 8756 | 652 | 555 |
| 2018 | 6105 | 11703 | 20430 | 4685 | 1761 | 2086 | 5972 | 677 |
| 2019 | 22732 | 6086 | 12051 | 22745 | 4021 | 1604 | 1472 | 4948 |
| 2020 | 27856 | 13879 | 5736 | 11171 | 13302 | 2578 | 1257 | 4177 |
| 2021 | 26371 | 15633 | 14639 | 4555 | 6456 | 10752 | 1669 | 4282 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 0.005 | 0.091 | 0.206 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 |
| 1990 | 0.006 | 0.138 | 0.366 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 |
| 1991 | 0.013 | 0.179 | 0.285 | 0.322 | 0.322 | 0.322 | 0.322 | 0.322 |
| 1992 | 0.029 | 0.219 | 0.269 | 0.282 | 0.282 | 0.282 | 0.282 | 0.282 |
| 1993 | 0.034 | 0.186 | 0.214 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 0.220 |
| 1994 | 0.030 | 0.214 | 0.260 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 |
| 1995 | 0.023 | 0.196 | 0.251 | 0.265 | 0.265 | 0.265 | 0.265 | 0.265 |
| 1996 | 0.013 | 0.215 | 0.380 | 0.446 | 0.446 | 0.446 | 0.446 | 0.446 |
| 1997 | 0.004 | 0.093 | 0.218 | 0.294 | 0.294 | 0.294 | 0.294 | 0.294 |
| 1998 | 0.005 | 0.119 | 0.296 | 0.415 | 0.415 | 0.415 | 0.415 | 0.415 |
| 1999 | 0.007 | 0.163 | 0.453 | 0.687 | 0.687 | 0.687 | 0.687 | 0.687 |
| 2000 | 0.003 | 0.072 | 0.193 | 0.285 | 0.285 | 0.285 | 0.285 | 0.285 |
| 2001 | 0.004 | 0.088 | 0.249 | 0.383 | 0.383 | 0.383 | 0.383 | 0.383 |
| 2002 | 0.003 | 0.077 | 0.210 | 0.314 | 0.314 | 0.314 | 0.314 | 0.314 |
| 2003 | 0.001 | 0.028 | 0.111 | 0.252 | 0.252 | 0.252 | 0.252 | 0.252 |
| 2004 | 0.001 | 0.027 | 0.121 | 0.362 | 0.362 | 0.362 | 0.362 | 0.362 |
| 2005 | 0.001 | 0.016 | 0.079 | 0.308 | 0.308 | 0.308 | 0.308 | 0.308 |
| 2006 | 0.000 | 0.010 | 0.051 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 |
| 2007 | 0.001 | 0.017 | 0.082 | 0.304 | 0.304 | 0.304 | 0.304 | 0.304 |
| 2008 | 0.001 | 0.020 | 0.078 | 0.174 | 0.174 | 0.174 | 0.174 | 0.174 |
| 2009 | 0.000 | 0.012 | 0.038 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 |
| 2010 | 0.000 | 0.007 | 0.027 | 0.065 | 0.065 | 0.065 | 0.065 | 0.065 |
| 2011 | 0.001 | 0.013 | 0.046 | 0.086 | 0.086 | 0.086 | 0.086 | 0.086 |
| 2012 | 0.001 | 0.012 | 0.035 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.055 |
| 2013 | 0.001 | 0.023 | 0.058 | 0.081 | 0.081 | 0.081 | 0.081 | 0.081 |
| 2014 | 0.001 | 0.019 | 0.045 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 |
| 2015 | 0.001 | 0.018 | 0.049 | 0.073 | 0.073 | 0.073 | 0.073 | 0.073 |
| 2016 | 0.001 | 0.022 | 0.056 | 0.080 | 0.080 | 0.080 | 0.080 | 0.080 |
| 2017 | 0.002 | 0.047 | 0.117 | 0.163 | 0.163 | 0.163 | 0.163 | 0.163 |
| 2018 | 0.002 | 0.043 | 0.098 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.130 |
| 2019 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.081 | 0.105 | 0.105 | 0.105 | 0.105 | 0.105 |
| 2020 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.074 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 |
| 2021 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.075 | 0.095 | 0.095 | 0.095 | 0.095 | 0.095 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 0.005 | 0.091 | 0.206 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 |
| 1990 | 0.006 | 0.138 | 0.366 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 |
| 1991 | 0.013 | 0.179 | 0.285 | 0.322 | 0.322 | 0.322 | 0.322 | 0.322 |
| 1992 | 0.029 | 0.219 | 0.269 | 0.282 | 0.282 | 0.282 | 0.282 | 0.282 |
| 1993 | 0.034 | 0.186 | 0.214 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 0.220 | 0.220 |
| 1994 | 0.030 | 0.214 | 0.260 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 |
| 1995 | 0.023 | 0.196 | 0.251 | 0.265 | 0.265 | 0.265 | 0.265 | 0.265 |
| 1996 | 0.013 | 0.215 | 0.380 | 0.446 | 0.446 | 0.446 | 0.446 | 0.446 |
| 1997 | 0.004 | 0.093 | 0.218 | 0.294 | 0.294 | 0.294 | 0.294 | 0.294 |
| 1998 | 0.005 | 0.119 | 0.296 | 0.415 | 0.415 | 0.415 | 0.415 | 0.415 |
| 1999 | 0.007 | 0.163 | 0.453 | 0.687 | 0.687 | 0.687 | 0.687 | 0.687 |
| 2000 | 0.003 | 0.072 | 0.193 | 0.285 | 0.285 | 0.285 | 0.285 | 0.285 |
| 2001 | 0.004 | 0.088 | 0.249 | 0.383 | 0.383 | 0.383 | 0.383 | 0.383 |
| 2002 | 0.003 | 0.077 | 0.210 | 0.314 | 0.314 | 0.314 | 0.314 | 0.314 |
| 2003 | 0.001 | 0.028 | 0.111 | 0.252 | 0.252 | 0.252 | 0.252 | 0.252 |
| 2004 | 0.001 | 0.027 | 0.121 | 0.362 | 0.362 | 0.362 | 0.362 | 0.362 |
| 2005 | 0.001 | 0.016 | 0.079 | 0.308 | 0.308 | 0.308 | 0.308 | 0.308 |
| 2006 | 0.000 | 0.010 | 0.051 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 |
| 2007 | 0.001 | 0.017 | 0.082 | 0.304 | 0.304 | 0.304 | 0.304 | 0.304 |
| 2008 | 0.001 | 0.020 | 0.078 | 0.174 | 0.174 | 0.174 | 0.174 | 0.174 |
| 2009 | 0.000 | 0.012 | 0.038 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 |
| 2010 | 0.000 | 0.007 | 0.027 | 0.065 | 0.065 | 0.065 | 0.065 | 0.065 |
| 2011 | 0.001 | 0.013 | 0.046 | 0.086 | 0.086 | 0.086 | 0.086 | 0.086 |
| 2012 | 0.001 | 0.012 | 0.035 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.055 |
| 2013 | 0.001 | 0.023 | 0.058 | 0.081 | 0.081 | 0.081 | 0.081 | 0.081 |
| 2014 | 0.001 | 0.019 | 0.045 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 | 0.060 |
| 2015 | 0.001 | 0.018 | 0.049 | 0.073 | 0.073 | 0.073 | 0.073 | 0.073 |
| 2016 | 0.001 | 0.022 | 0.056 | 0.080 | 0.080 | 0.080 | 0.080 | 0.080 |
| 2017 | 0.002 | 0.047 | 0.117 | 0.163 | 0.163 | 0.163 | 0.163 | 0.163 |
| 2018 | 0.002 | 0.043 | 0.098 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.130 | 0.130 |
| 2019 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.081 | 0.105 | 0.105 | 0.105 | 0.105 | 0.105 |
| 2020 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.074 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 |
| 2021 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.075 | 0.095 | 0.095 | 0.095 | 0.095 | 0.095 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 0.008 | 0.216 | 0.336 | 0.365 | 0.370 | 0.373 | 0.377 | 0.377 |
| 1990 | 0.009 | 0.150 | 0.202 | 0.214 | 0.217 | 0.218 | 0.220 | 0.220 |
| 1991 | 0.007 | 0.113 | 0.173 | 0.190 | 0.193 | 0.195 | 0.197 | 0.197 |
| 1992 | 0.004 | 0.053 | 0.078 | 0.086 | 0.088 | 0.089 | 0.090 | 0.090 |
| 1993 | 0.013 | 0.129 | 0.179 | 0.196 | 0.199 | 0.201 | 0.203 | 0.203 |
| 1994 | 0.023 | 0.160 | 0.209 | 0.227 | 0.230 | 0.232 | 0.235 | 0.235 |
| 1995 | 0.009 | 0.067 | 0.102 | 0.113 | 0.116 | 0.117 | 0.119 | 0.119 |
| 1996 | 0.007 | 0.046 | 0.083 | 0.096 | 0.098 | 0.100 | 0.101 | 0.101 |
| 1997 | 0.007 | 0.053 | 0.112 | 0.134 | 0.138 | 0.141 | 0.143 | 0.143 |
| 1998 | 0.005 | 0.034 | 0.080 | 0.100 | 0.104 | 0.107 | 0.109 | 0.109 |
| 1999 | 0.015 | 0.090 | 0.164 | 0.197 | 0.203 | 0.207 | 0.210 | 0.210 |
| 2000 | 0.018 | 0.104 | 0.181 | 0.222 | 0.230 | 0.235 | 0.239 | 0.239 |
| 2001 | 0.016 | 0.084 | 0.189 | 0.270 | 0.288 | 0.297 | 0.304 | 0.304 |
| 2002 | 0.017 | 0.079 | 0.184 | 0.313 | 0.347 | 0.364 | 0.375 | 0.375 |
| 2003 | 0.014 | 0.064 | 0.148 | 0.283 | 0.330 | 0.354 | 0.369 | 0.369 |
| 2004 | 0.008 | 0.039 | 0.078 | 0.143 | 0.168 | 0.180 | 0.187 | 0.187 |
| 2005 | 0.015 | 0.069 | 0.141 | 0.249 | 0.297 | 0.320 | 0.334 | 0.334 |
| 2006 | 0.011 | 0.051 | 0.103 | 0.178 | 0.208 | 0.222 | 0.229 | 0.229 |
| 2007 | 0.014 | 0.065 | 0.140 | 0.220 | 0.248 | 0.260 | 0.267 | 0.267 |
| 2008 | 0.014 | 0.062 | 0.148 | 0.256 | 0.296 | 0.311 | 0.320 | 0.320 |
| 2009 | 0.015 | 0.069 | 0.161 | 0.256 | 0.290 | 0.303 | 0.311 | 0.311 |
| 2010 | 0.015 | 0.078 | 0.176 | 0.282 | 0.325 | 0.340 | 0.350 | 0.350 |
| 2011 | 0.009 | 0.044 | 0.091 | 0.161 | 0.198 | 0.210 | 0.217 | 0.217 |
| 2012 | 0.014 | 0.068 | 0.120 | 0.223 | 0.279 | 0.297 | 0.308 | 0.308 |
| 2013 | 0.012 | 0.059 | 0.104 | 0.213 | 0.287 | 0.312 | 0.327 | 0.327 |
| 2014 | 0.009 | 0.049 | 0.085 | 0.185 | 0.257 | 0.281 | 0.297 | 0.297 |
| 2015 | 0.014 | 0.074 | 0.112 | 0.238 | 0.345 | 0.384 | 0.408 | 0.408 |
| 2016 | 0.016 | 0.088 | 0.112 | 0.213 | 0.329 | 0.375 | 0.404 | 0.404 |
| 2017 | 0.014 | 0.080 | 0.092 | 0.167 | 0.324 | 0.423 | 0.489 | 0.489 |
| 2018 | 0.009 | 0.055 | 0.061 | 0.098 | 0.191 | 0.278 | 0.346 | 0.346 |
| 2019 | 0.012 | 0.070 | 0.073 | 0.096 | 0.181 | 0.308 | 0.441 | 0.441 |
| 2020 | 0.012 | 0.070 | 0.071 | 0.082 | 0.139 | 0.256 | 0.424 | 0.424 |
| 2021 | 0.011 | 0.068 | 0.072 | 0.083 | 0.133 | 0.233 | 0.367 | 0.367 |